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From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?According to the research report released by SDIC Securities on December 8, if we want to treat this wave of "new year's market" with "innovation", it is necessary for the US dollar index to clearly turn from strong to weak and the fiscal expenditure to enter a clear expansion cycle. The pricing of risk preference turning to fundamentals may have to be further confirmed in the second quarter of next year (strong dollar turning to weak dollar+stimulus policy effectively reversing domestic demand). Looking back at history, after M1 rebounded from the bottom for two consecutive months, the market sector represented by consumption and pro-cyclical sectors will start pricing around fundamentals, which also means that if the growth rate of M1 continues to rebound in November, this extreme differentiation pricing model of large and small markets is expected to be gradually reversed.For the reason of the market style deduction, Zhao Xi, the investment director of Tuopai Fund, told the First Financial Reporter that since the macroeconomic data has not improved significantly, it is difficult for the macro economy to support the core assets, and most investors' sense of the whole economy is not high enough. Although the weighted blue chips and fund heavyweight stocks have valuation advantages, they lack rising logic. In this context, hot money and new retail investors have repeatedly speculated on the emerging science and technology around the policy.

On December 9th, Wonder Microdisk Index continued to hit a record high, closing at 359,303.64 points, with a cumulative increase of 25.11% during the year. The fund's heavy position index rose by 7.63% during the year, and the underperformed microdisk index was nearly 18 percentage points.For the reason of the market style deduction, Zhao Xi, the investment director of Tuopai Fund, told the First Financial Reporter that since the macroeconomic data has not improved significantly, it is difficult for the macro economy to support the core assets, and most investors' sense of the whole economy is not high enough. Although the weighted blue chips and fund heavyweight stocks have valuation advantages, they lack rising logic. In this context, hot money and new retail investors have repeatedly speculated on the emerging science and technology around the policy.

"The market of technology stocks is supported by policies, and the policies frequently mention the self-reliance and self-improvement of science and technology, such as artificial intelligence industry, self-controllable, new energy technology, etc. This kind of concept plate is mainly the participation of hot money and new retail investors, focusing on themes and tracks. Long-term expectations are hard to be falsified in the short term. Industries such as artificial intelligence are indeed in a stage of rapid development. Once hot money has a money-making effect, retail investors are easy to chase after it and push the stock price up. " Zhao Xi told reporters.Let's look at a set of data first. The average increase of the 100 stocks with the smallest market value on September 23 to December 9 is 141%. The 100 stocks with the largest market value closed on September 23, and the average increase by December 9 was 21.5%.On December 9th, Wonder Microdisk Index continued to hit a record high, closing at 359,303.64 points, with a cumulative increase of 25.11% during the year. The fund's heavy position index rose by 7.63% during the year, and the underperformed microdisk index was nearly 18 percentage points.